Bitcoin Price Prediction: This Signal Says the BTC Bull Run Comes Next

Bitcoin has reached a pretty important moment after peaking back in October 2025. There’s a familiar signal starting to show up again, and it’s one that has appeared right before major turning points in past cycles.

This time, it’s coming from a higher timeframe chart, and it’s raising a simple but big question: are we getting close to that final dip before the next bull run kicks in?

A pattern that keeps showing up

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently pointed out something worth paying attention to. Every time the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages cross after a big drop, the BTC price tends to go through one last heavy sell-off before finding a long-term bottom.

This isn’t some random occurrence. It’s happened multiple times. Back in 2014, Bitcoin had already dropped over 70% before this signal showed up. Not long after, the market went through one more major drop of around 50% before finally bottoming out.

The same pattern played out in 2018. The BTC price was already deep in its correction, the crossover appeared, and within about a month, another steep drop followed that marked the cycle low.

Then came 2022. Bitcoin had already taken a big hit, and once the signal appeared, there was another strong move down not long after. That final phase completed the bear market before things started turning around.

The key takeaway here is consistency. This signal hasn’t marked the exact bottom, it usually shows up right before the last leg lower.

BTC price analysis: Where things stand with Bitcoin right now 

When you zoom in a bit, the chart isn’t giving much confidence yet. The BTC price is around $66,000, and it hasn’t been able to reclaim key levels for a while. The 100-day moving average is sitting well above price, and every attempt to push higher has been rejected before getting close to it. That usually means sellers are still in control.

Daily BTC price chart analysis.

You can also see multiple breaks of structure to the downside. Instead of forming higher highs, the market keeps making lower lows, which keeps the downtrend intact. On top of that, Fibonacci levels are getting taken out one by one. The recent break below a key level around $66,800 opens the door for a move toward lower support zones.

Taking a closer look at the 4-hour chart, things still look weak. The BTC price tried to bounce recently, but couldn’t hold it, and sellers stepped back in.

Price is trading below a downward-sloping moving average, which usually points to continued pressure. RSI is also sitting in that neutral-to-weak zone, so there’s no strong push from buyers right now.

4-hour BTC price chart analysis.

The key levels are pretty straightforward. Support is around $65,000, and below that, there’s a stronger zone near $62,000. If those levels give way, the BTC price could move toward the mid-$50,000 range. On the upside, there’s a lot of ground to cover before any real recovery starts to take shape.

What the on-chain data is showing

Looking beyond the charts, the on-chain data from Glassnode gives a bit more context. Bitcoin’s market cap dropped pretty quickly recently, falling from around $1.44 trillion to closer to $1.33 trillion. That kind of move usually points to sustained selling, not just a quick dip.

At the same time, network activity hasn’t completely fallen off. Active addresses dropped during the decline but have started to recover a bit. That’s an interesting detail because it shows the network is still active, even if the BTC price isn’t responding yet. It’s not a strong bullish signal, but it’s also not a sign of collapse.

Is one more BTC price dip coming?

When you put everything together, the situation becomes a bit clearer. The BTC price is still in a downtrend across multiple timeframes. Momentum is weak, key levels are under pressure, and there’s no strong sign of a reversal yet.

At the same time, the signal indicated by Ali Martinez is lining up again, and in past cycles, that has come right before the final move lower. That doesn’t mean the market has to drop immediately, but it does mean the risk of one more sharp dip is very real.

Why the next move matters

Here’s the part that really matters. In previous cycles, that final drop didn’t last long, but it created the best opportunities of the entire market cycle. If the same pattern plays out again, the BTC price could go through one more aggressive move down before turning higher in a much bigger way.

Right now, the focus is on the $62,000–$65,000 range. That’s where buyers have stepped in before, and it could play a key role again. The BTC price is at a point where things could move quickly. The short-term trend still leans down, and the charts aren’t showing a clear reversal yet.

At the same time, the bigger picture is starting to look familiar. Similar patterns have shown up near past cycle bottoms. If history repeats, the market might still need one last flush before turning higher, and that could be what sets up the next bull run.

CoinCodex’s 1-month BTC price prediction places the asset at $71,822, pointing to a potential move from current levels near $66,000 if momentum returns and key resistance levels are reclaimed.