Bitcoin may enter a long bull run after 2025 weakness, as analysts debate cycle timing, institutional adoption, and nation-state interest.
Bitcoin could be entering a prolonged bull market after a subdued period in 2025, according to Jan3 founder Samson Mow. He believes recent weakness was a phase of a bear market. Moreover, an improvement in sentiment may be a major indicator of shift. Consequently, there has been a return to long-term optimism among some analysts.
Mow Calls 2025 the Bear Phase as Optimism Rebuilds
Samson Mow said that 2025 should be considered as the bear market for bitcoin. He expressed this belief in a post on X. According to Mow, depressed prices and poor sentiment characterised the period. Therefore, he suggests the market has already passed its ‘down’ phase.
Mow suggested Bitcoin now may be going into a decade-long bull run. He characterized this outlook as a possible “omegacycle.” This theory talks about how traditional boom and bust cycles may end. Instead, Bitcoin may follow the long-term path of gold following ETF approval.
Related Reading: Bitcoin News: This Shocking Indicator Says Bitcoin’s Bull Run Ended | Live Bitcoin News
Bitcoin broke the record with an all-time high value of $125,100 in October. Some analysts believe that peak was the cycle top. As such, they anticipate 2026 will be the start of a new bear market. This disagreement shows deep splits within the market.
Despite the skepticism, Mow is confident with his outlook. He said last week Bitcoin could “add a zero” to its price. That scenario implies a possible move up toward $1 million. He expects such a move to happen quickly, and not slowly.
Bitcoin analyst PlanC agreed with Mow on market conditions. He also referred to 2025 as the bear market year. “If you made it through 2025 you made it through the bear market,” he wrote on X. This support added to the bullish narrative.
Market Sentiment Indicators indicated fear over an extended period in 2025. Several analysts called conditions “extreme fear.” Historically, such periods are often followed by recoveries. Therefore, some investors regard existing levels as a basis for growth.
Nation-State Adoption and ETFs Shape Long-Term Outlook
Mow’s prospects are highly contingent on the adoption of Bitcoin by nation states. He gave an early example of El Salvador. The country legalized bitcoin in 2021. Since then, it has gone on amassing Bitcoin deposits.
Other governments are reportedly looking at similar strategies. In the United States, policymakers were talking about strategic reserves of Bitcoin. While there are no final decisions, the debate itself is a shift. As a result, it is the role of Bitcoin as a reserve asset that attracts attention.
Exchange-traded funds are also an important component of this outlook. Spot Bitcoin ETFs increased access to institutions. In 2025, pensions and endowments came through regulated products. This trend led to a great increase in the number of investors in Bitcoin.
Mow likened the potential of Bitcoin to gold following its first-ever ETF issuance. Gold enjoyed a several-year rally afterward. Similarly, Bitcoin ETFs may help to support sustained inflows. Therefore, structural demand may help to offset volatility over time.
Critics claim that Bitcoin is still subject to cycles of speculation. They point out that past rallies came to a razor-sharp end. Without consistent adoption, long-term stability may be elusive. This concern moderates the expectation of a straight upward curve.
For now, Mow’s prediction is a sign of growing confidence among long-term bulls. Whether Bitcoin enters a decade-long rally or not is yet to be seen. However, the discussion highlights the changing expectations following the challenging market conditions of 2025.
Source: https://www.livebitcoinnews.com/bitcoin-could-enter-decade-long-bull-run-after-2025-lull-samson-mow/
