Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has decided to pause its plans to list contracts for betting on whether top college athletes will enter the transfer portal. This decision follows strong objections from NCAA President Charlie Baker, who strongly condemned the potential for such markets. Kalshi had previously sought permission from regulatory authorities to offer these markets, but the company has now confirmed that it will not proceed with them in the immediate future.
The platform’s spokesperson clarified that although Kalshi often certifies markets, it does not always move forward with them. An example cited by Kalshi was a potential market that would have allowed users to wager on whether animals could be brought back from extinction. Kalshi stressed that it regularly evaluates its markets before deciding to launch them.
The news of Kalshi’s potential market offering was met with strong disapproval from NCAA President Charlie Baker. Baker publicly expressed his concern on social media, condemning the idea of betting on college athletes’ transfer portal decisions. He argued that such markets could worsen harassment and abuse faced by student-athletes who are already subjected to public scrutiny over their performance in games.
Baker emphasized that the move could place additional pressure on student-athletes and threaten the integrity of college sports. “The decisions and futures of collegiate athletes should not be gambled with, especially in an unregulated marketplace,” Baker wrote. He further expressed that the development could disrupt competition and recruitment in collegiate sports.
In response to Baker’s comments, Kalshi defended its operations and regulatory standing. A spokesperson for Kalshi explained that the company is regulated under the Commodity Exchange Act and operates as a federally regulated exchange. This status grants Kalshi oversight as a Designated Contract Market, allowing the platform to list various types of futures, options, and swaps. The spokesperson clarified that Kalshi adheres to federal regulations and is not an unregulated entity, as suggested by Baker.
Despite the regulatory backing, Kalshi’s stance is that the proposed market was not guaranteed to be listed. The spokesperson confirmed that while the company often seeks regulatory approval for various markets, it chooses not to launch certain ones, depending on various factors.
Kalshi has a history of seeking approval for markets it does not ultimately launch. For instance, it previously considered a market around the de-extinction of animals, which was also certified but not offered to users. This pattern of certifying markets without launching them is part of Kalshi’s broader strategy to explore various possibilities while ensuring that any eventual market it offers aligns with regulatory standards and public sentiment.
This decision to step back from listing the college athlete transfer markets marks a significant moment for Kalshi, as it navigates the intersection of regulatory requirements, public opinion, and market demand. Both Kalshi and its competitor Polymarket have allowed users to bet on the outcomes of college games in the past, but the NCAA’s objection to athlete transfer-related betting is a new development in this growing space
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