Falling Channel Holds as Regulated Futures Add New Volatility

• SHIB remains locked inside a descending channel, trading below all major EMAs as sellers defend trend resistance.
• Intraday momentum stays weak near channel support, signaling consolidation rather than a confirmed reversal.
• Newly launched U.S.-regulated SHIB futures may increase volatility, but have not yet altered bearish structure.

Shiba Inu price today trades near $0.00000780, slipping modestly after another failed attempt to reclaim short-term resistance. The token remains pinned near the lower boundary of a descending channel, with sellers controlling trend structure while buyers defend a narrow support band that has held through December.

Falling Channel Defines The Trend

On the daily chart, Shiba Inu continues to trade inside a clearly defined falling channel that has guided price lower since October. Each recovery attempt has stalled below descending resistance, while lower highs continue to cap upside momentum.

SHIB remains below the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs, all of which are stacked bearishly overhead. The 20-day EMA near $0.00000833 and the 50-day EMA around $0.00000892 form the first major resistance cluster. Above that, the 100-day EMA near $0.00000989 and the 200-day EMA close to $0.00001130 reinforce the broader downtrend.

As long as price stays below this EMA structure, rallies remain corrective rather than trend-forming. Sellers continue to defend these levels, keeping pressure on any bounce.

The lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart sits just below this range, while price has stopped making aggressive lower lows. That behavior often signals seller fatigue, even if it does not yet confirm a reversal.

Intraday Momentum Remains Cautious

Shorter timeframes show a market struggling to regain traction. On the 30-minute chart, SHIB has remained capped below minor intraday resistance near $0.00000795, with repeated rejections keeping price pinned near the session lows.

RSI on the intraday chart sits near the low-40s, reflecting weak momentum without reaching extreme oversold conditions. This suggests consolidation rather than capitulation. MACD remains slightly negative, with histogram bars flattening, pointing to slowing downside momentum but no confirmed bullish crossover.

Regulated Futures Change The Landscape

Adding a new layer to the market, Coinbase has launched U.S.-regulated futures tied to Shiba Inu through its derivatives platform. The products include perpetual-style contracts and monthly futures based on a 1,000 SHIB index, trading around the clock under U.S. regulatory oversight.

The introduction of regulated derivatives expands access for institutional desks and funds that require compliant venues. Increased liquidity and continuous pricing can improve market depth, but futures also make it easier to express bearish views, which can amplify volatility rather than support price outright.

Early reaction in spot markets has been mixed. The launch has not triggered an immediate upside response, reinforcing the idea that derivatives access is a structural change, not a guaranteed bullish catalyst.

Why SHIB Is Unlikely To Go To Zero

Concerns about SHIB collapsing to zero are not grounded in current market reality. The token remains listed across major exchanges, trades with substantial daily volume, and continues to see active participation from both buyers and sellers.

From a technical perspective, the absence of aggressive new lows suggests downside is becoming more expensive for bears. Price has entered a zone where supply is being absorbed rather than dumped indiscriminately. While that does not confirm a bottom, it reduces the probability of a sudden collapse without a broader market shock.

A renewed wave of heavy distribution or a sharp breakdown across risk assets would be required to push SHIB materially lower from here. Without that catalyst, consolidation or a modest relief bounce becomes more likely than an uncontrolled drop.

Outlook. Will Shiba Inu Go Up?

Shiba Inu remains trapped between structural resistance and a developing support base. The near-term trend stays bearish while price trades below the EMA cluster and the upper boundary of the falling channel.

• Bullish case. A daily close above $0.00000833, followed by a reclaim of the 50-day EMA near $0.00000892, would signal improving momentum and open the door to a move toward $0.00000980.
• Bearish case. A decisive break below $0.00000750 would invalidate the consolidation and expose the lower channel target near $0.00000700.