Is OpenAI GPT-5.2 actually better than Google Gemini 3 Pro? If you strip away the extra "thinking" time used in the benchmarks, the gap disappears. We dug into Is OpenAI GPT-5.2 actually better than Google Gemini 3 Pro? If you strip away the extra "thinking" time used in the benchmarks, the gap disappears. We dug into

OpenAI GPT-5.2: The “Cheating” Controversy

2025/12/15 12:58

Recently OpenAI released GPT-5.2 which has superior benchmark results. However, some online chatters reveal that OpenAI might have used more tokens and compute for the benchmark test, and might be considered “cheating” the tests. If everything is equal, is GPT-5.2 actually on par with Gemini 3 Pro? Here we try to find out.

The "Cheating" Controversy: Compute & Tokens

The core of the controversy lies in inference-time compute. "Cheating" in this context refers to OpenAI using a configuration for benchmarks that is significantly more powerful (and expensive) than what is available to standard users or what is typical for a "fair" comparison.

\

  • "xhigh" vs. "Medium" Effort: Reports indicate that OpenAI's published benchmark results were generated using an "xhigh" reasoning effort setting. This mode allows the model to generate a massive number of internal "thought" tokens (reasoning steps) before producing an answer.
  • The Issue: Standard ChatGPT Plus users reportedly only have access to "medium" or "high" effort modes. The "xhigh" mode used for benchmarks consumes vastly more tokens and compute, effectively brute-forcing higher scores by allowing the model to "think" for much longer (sometimes 30-50 minutes for complex tasks) than a standard interaction allows.
  • Inference Scaling: This leverages a concept where allowing a model to generate more tokens during inference (test time) improves performance significantly. Critics argue that comparing GPT-5.2's "xhigh" scores against Gemini 3 Pro's standard outputs is misleading because it compares a "maximum compute" scenario against a "standard usage" scenario.

Benchmark Comparison (GPT-5.2 vs. Gemini 3 Pro)

When the massive compute boost is factored in, GPT-5.2 does post higher scores, but the gap narrows or reverses when conditions are scrutinized.

\

| Benchmark | GPT-5.2 (Thinking/Pro) | Gemini 3 Pro | Context | |----|----|----|----| | ARC-AGI-2 | 52.9% | ~31.1% | Measures abstract reasoning. GPT-5.2's score is heavily reliant on the "Thinking" process. | | GPQA Diamond | 92.4% | 91.9% | Graduate-level science. The scores are effectively tied (within margin of error). | | SWE-Bench Pro | 55.6% | N/A | Real-world software engineering. GPT-5.2 sets a new SOTA here. | | SWE-Bench Verified | 80.0% | 76.2% | A more established coding benchmark. The models are roughly comparable here. |

\n

  • Private Benchmarks: Some independent evaluations (e.g., restricted "private benchmarks" mentioned in discussions) suggest that Gemini 3 Pro actually outperforms GPT-5.2 in areas like creative writing, philosophy, and tool use when the "gaming" of public benchmarks is removed.

Are They "On Par"?

Yes, and Gemini 3 Pro may even be superior in "base" capability.

\ If "everything is equal"—meaning both models are restricted to the same amount of inference compute (thinking time)—the general consensus implies they are highly comparable, with different strengths:

\

  • Gemini 3 Pro Advantages:
  • Base Intelligence: Appears to have stronger fundamental capability in long-context understanding (massive context window), theoretical reasoning, and creative tasks without needing excessive "thinking" time.
  • Cost Efficiency: For many tasks, it achieves similar results with less compute (and thus lower cost/latency).
  • GPT-5.2 Advantages:
  • Agentic Workflow: With the "Thinking" mode enabled (high compute), it excels at complex, multi-step agents and coding tasks (SWE-Bench). It is "tuned" effectively to use extra compute to solve harder problems.

\

Conclusions

The claim that they are "on par" is accurate. If you strip away OpenAI's "xhigh" compute advantage used in benchmarks, Gemini 3 Pro is likely equal or slightly ahead in raw model intelligence. GPT-5.2's "superiority" in benchmarks largely comes from its ability to spend significantly more time and compute processing a single prompt.

\ Based on the verification performed, here is the compiled list of sources regarding the GPT-5.2 release, the Gemini 3 Pro comparison, and the associated benchmarking controversy.

References

1. Official Release Announcements

OpenAI – System Card Update

  • openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card-update-gpt-5-2/

    \n Google – The Gemini 3 Era

  • blog.google/products/gemini/gemini-3/

2. Benchmark Performance & Technical Analysis

R&D World – Comparative Analysis

\

  • Title: "How GPT-5.2 stacks up against Gemini 3.0 and Claude Opus 4.5"
  • Verified Details: Validates the 52.9% score on ARC-AGI-2 (Thinking mode) vs. Gemini 3 Pro's ~31.1%. Confirms GPT-5.2's lead in abstract reasoning is heavily tied to the "Thinking" process.
  • Source: rdworldonline.com/how-gpt-5-2-stacks-up \n

Vellum AI – Deep Dive

\

  • Title: "GPT-5.2 Benchmarks"
  • Verified Details: Verifies the 92.4% score on GPQA Diamond, noting it is effectively tied with Gemini 3 Pro (91.9%) when within the margin of error, but marketed as a "win" by OpenAI.
  • Source: vellum.ai/blog/gpt-5-2-benchmarks

\ Simon Willison’s Weblog

\

  • Title: "GPT-5.2"
  • Verified Details: Technical breakdown of the API pricing ($1.75/1M input) and the distinction between the "Instant" and "Thinking" API endpoints.
  • Source: simonwillison.net/2025/Dec/11/gpt-52/

3. The "Cheating" & Compute Controversy

Reddit (r/LocalLLaMA & r/Singularity)

\

  • Threads: "GPT-5.2 Thinking evals" & "OpenAI drops GPT-5.2 'Code Red' vibes"
  • Verified Details: These community discussions are the primary source of the "cheating" allegations. Users identified that OpenAI's benchmarks used "xhigh" (extra high) reasoning effort—a setting that uses significantly more tokens and time than the "Medium" or "High" settings available to standard users or used in Gemini's standard benchmarks.
  • Source: reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1pk4t5z/gpt52thinkingevals/
  • Source: reddit.com/r/ChatGPTCoding/comments/1pkq4mc/

\ InfoQ News

\

  • Title: "OpenAI's New GPT-5.1 Models are Faster and More Conversational" (Contextual coverage including 5.2)
  • Verified Details: Discusses the introduction of the "xhigh" reasoning effort level and the trade-offs between benchmark scores and actual user latency/cost.
  • Source: infoq.com/news/2025/12/openai-gpt-51/

\

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The post The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Visions of future technology are often prescient about the broad strokes while flubbing the details. The tablets in “2001: A Space Odyssey” do indeed look like iPads, but you never see the astronauts paying for subscriptions or wasting hours on Candy Crush.  Channel factories are one vision that arose early in the history of the Lightning Network to address some challenges that Lightning has faced from the beginning. Despite having grown to become Bitcoin’s most successful layer-2 scaling solution, with instant and low-fee payments, Lightning’s scale is limited by its reliance on payment channels. Although Lightning shifts most transactions off-chain, each payment channel still requires an on-chain transaction to open and (usually) another to close. As adoption grows, pressure on the blockchain grows with it. The need for a more scalable approach to managing channels is clear. Channel factories were supposed to meet this need, but where are they? In 2025, subnetworks are emerging that revive the impetus of channel factories with some new details that vastly increase their potential. They are natively interoperable with Lightning and achieve greater scale by allowing a group of participants to open a shared multisig UTXO and create multiple bilateral channels, which reduces the number of on-chain transactions and improves capital efficiency. Achieving greater scale by reducing complexity, Ark and Spark perform the same function as traditional channel factories with new designs and additional capabilities based on shared UTXOs.  Channel Factories 101 Channel factories have been around since the inception of Lightning. A factory is a multiparty contract where multiple users (not just two, as in a Dryja-Poon channel) cooperatively lock funds in a single multisig UTXO. They can open, close and update channels off-chain without updating the blockchain for each operation. Only when participants leave or the factory dissolves is an on-chain transaction…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:09
SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime

SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime

The post SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In a pivotal week for crypto infrastructure, the Solana network
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/16 20:44
Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25