Markets don’t ask “if” — they only ask “when.” In December 2025 we’re right back in the “blood-in-the-streets” phase: Bitcoin –38 % from its November ATH, Ethereum –44 %, top-100 altcoins down an average of –62 %. Social media is screaming “it’s over,” and the Fear & Greed Index has been stuck between 18 and 22 for the fourth straight week.
The Gelaxy IG team has lived through every major drawdown of the last decade with our clients: March 2020 (–54 % in 48 hours), May 2021 (–55 %), the entire 2022 bear market (–77 % peak-to-trough), and the May 2025 flash crash (–41 % in a week). The outcome is always the same: those who followed a system finished the cycle 5–15× wealthier; those who panicked lost 70–95 % and left forever.
Below is the exact step-by-step protocol we give every client when the market starts collapsing again.
1. Emotions vs. Logic: The 72-Hour Rule
The first thing that destroys capital in a drawdown is panic. When Bitcoin drops 10 % in a day, your brain screams “run,” even though history screams the opposite.
Do this immediately:
- Turn off all TradingView alerts, Telegram channels, and X notifications for 72 hours. Full information detox.
- Take a pen and paper (not your phone) and write down the three original reasons you entered this market in 2021–2025. As long as those reasons are still valid (Bitcoin = digital gold, Ethereum = global settlement layer, AI tokens = infrastructure of the future, etc.), panic is pointless.
- Open your trade journal and count how many times you already “saved yourself” at previous bottoms only to regret it later. Most of our clients have 3–6 such stories per cycle.
Data 2011–2025: every single time BTC fell more than 50 %, it delivered at least +180 % (average +460 %) within the next 12–24 months.
2. DCA on Steroids: Turn the Crash into Your Superpower
Dollar-Cost Averaging during a bear market isn’t just “buying the dip” — it’s weaponized accumulation.
Real Gelaxy IG case (May–December 2025):
A client with $380 k started aggressive DCA:
- $8 k every week 50/50 into BTC and ETH
- Below $60 k → increased to $15 k
- Below $55 k → increased to $25 k Result: average BTC entry $57,400, ETH $3,120. By December 2025 (BTC $91 k, ETH $4,800) the portfolio is already +78 % from the May peak while the broader market is still red.
Golden rules for bear-market DCA in 2025–2026:
- Frequency: switch from monthly to weekly or even daily buys.
- Size: never more than 5–8 % of available dry powder per purchase.
- Triggers: add +50 % to normal size for every additional –10 % drop.
- Execution: use limit orders 3–5 % below spot so you’re not chasing falling knives.
3. Tactical Retreat: Stablecoins + Gold as Dry Powder
When realized volatility exceeds 80 % (current BTC ATR > 9 %), we move clients to a 40/60 or even 50/50 allocation:
- 30–40 % into USDT/USDC on spot or lending protocols at 9–15 % APY (Aave, Spark, Morpho).
- 5–10 % into tokenized or physical gold (PAXG, XAUt). Gold historically rallies when everything else bleeds.
This is not exiting the market — it’s repositioning. The moment Fear & Greed drops below 15 (capitulation zone), that 40–50 % storms back into BTC, ETH, and strong alts at prices people will envy in a year.
4. Portfolio Spring Cleaning: Keep the Kings, Kill the Junk
A bear market is the best auditor you’ll ever have. Ask three questions about every single position:
- Do I still believe in this project in five years?
- Does it have a real product, growing on-chain metrics, and revenue?
- Is any single position larger than 20 % of the portfolio (way too risky in a crisis)?
One “no” → sell without mercy.
In 2022 this exact cleanup saved hundreds of our clients from Terra Luna (–100 %), Celsius (–100 %), and FTX (–100 %).
What stays in a December 2025 portfolio:
- Bitcoin + Ethereum = 70–80 % of the risk allocation
- 3–4 strong L1/L2 (Solana, Arbitrum, Sui, Avalanche)
- 2–3 narratives of the next cycle (AI: TAO, FET/ASI; RWA: ONDO, MANTRA; next-gen GameFi)
- Maximum 10 positions total
5. How to Take a Loss the Right Way (When It’s Actually Necessary)
Sometimes stopping out is discipline, not weakness.
Gelaxy IG rules:
- Hard stops on alts: –50 % from entry or –40 % from 2025 ATH.
- No stops on BTC and ETH ever — only rebalancing and DCA.
- Tax-loss harvesting: sell at year-end, book the loss, instantly repurchase a similar asset (e.g., SOL → SOL ETF).
- Never liquidate the entire portfolio at once. Split into 3–5 tranches over 5–10 days.
6. Psychological Anchors & Daily Rituals
- Keep a “Why I’m Still Here” journal — one entry per day.
- Every evening count sats and ETH, not fiat value.
- Surround yourself only with people who have survived 2–3 cycles. Newbies are contagious in bear markets.
7. December 2025 – January 2026 Checklist
- Turned off alerts & news for 72 hours → done
- Moved 35 % to USDT + 8 % to PAXG → done
- Launched aggressive DCA ($_____ per week) → done
- Removed every dead/questionable project → done
- Wrote long-term goals and taped them to my monitor → done
- Booked a strategy review with my Gelaxy IG manager → done
Conclusion
Every major crash of the last 14 years wasn’t the end — it was the best entry of the entire cycle:
- 2018 → BTC $3,100
- 2020 → BTC $4,000
- 2022 → BTC $15,700
- 2025 → ???
In 12–24 months today’s prices will look ridiculously cheap.
Drawdowns aren’t punishment — they’re a once-in-a-cycle opportunity to buy the same assets 40–70 % off their recent highs. The only requirements are a cool head, a proven system, and the refusal to follow the herd.
At Gelaxy IG we stand with you 24/7 exactly during these moments. We’ve done this four times before, and we know what comes next.
Stay strong. See you at the next all-time high — it’s closer than it feels.
Your Gelaxy IG team
