The post Polymarket Profits Cluster with Bots and Whales appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. To rank within the top 0.51% by profit and loss, an individual must realize gains surpassing $1,000 Simply executing 50 or more trades places a user ahead of 77% of the entire user base People are starting to view Polymarket as less of a place for simple betting and more as a sophisticated trading ground where experts profit from tiny price differences and perfect timing A week ago, it was reported that Polymarket, a prediction-market protocol, recently hit a $9 billion valuation following a large $2 billion investment. Interestingly, data and analysis shows that a remarkably small fraction of users achieve consistent profits. To rank within the top 0.51% by profit and loss, an individual must realize gains surpassing $1,000. Similarly, a trading volume exceeding $50,000 is required to be in the top 1.74% by that same metric. Also, simply executing 50 or more trades places a user ahead of 77% of the entire user base. Two strategies driving profit Right now, a strategy known as the “Endgame Sweep” is gaining attention. When an event outcome is nearly certain and market pricing is high (for instance, above 0.95), some users will buy in and wait for settlement to capture the remaining value. The reason this works is because many small-time traders get nervous or impatient and sell their contracts just before the event settles, for prices like 0.997 or 0.999. This leaves a small profit window for big whale investors or bots, who can buy these cheap contracts and instantly collect the full value. Sometimes, these large players might even spread fear or manipulate the price to scare smaller traders into selling early. Related: Polymarket Adds Bitcoin Deposits as Platform Targets $1 Billion Valuation Another notable arbitrage opportunity arises in multi-outcome prediction markets, where the combined implied probability of all… The post Polymarket Profits Cluster with Bots and Whales appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. To rank within the top 0.51% by profit and loss, an individual must realize gains surpassing $1,000 Simply executing 50 or more trades places a user ahead of 77% of the entire user base People are starting to view Polymarket as less of a place for simple betting and more as a sophisticated trading ground where experts profit from tiny price differences and perfect timing A week ago, it was reported that Polymarket, a prediction-market protocol, recently hit a $9 billion valuation following a large $2 billion investment. Interestingly, data and analysis shows that a remarkably small fraction of users achieve consistent profits. To rank within the top 0.51% by profit and loss, an individual must realize gains surpassing $1,000. Similarly, a trading volume exceeding $50,000 is required to be in the top 1.74% by that same metric. Also, simply executing 50 or more trades places a user ahead of 77% of the entire user base. Two strategies driving profit Right now, a strategy known as the “Endgame Sweep” is gaining attention. When an event outcome is nearly certain and market pricing is high (for instance, above 0.95), some users will buy in and wait for settlement to capture the remaining value. The reason this works is because many small-time traders get nervous or impatient and sell their contracts just before the event settles, for prices like 0.997 or 0.999. This leaves a small profit window for big whale investors or bots, who can buy these cheap contracts and instantly collect the full value. Sometimes, these large players might even spread fear or manipulate the price to scare smaller traders into selling early. Related: Polymarket Adds Bitcoin Deposits as Platform Targets $1 Billion Valuation Another notable arbitrage opportunity arises in multi-outcome prediction markets, where the combined implied probability of all…